- Navy is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Rice
- Navy vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Navy Midshipmen (6-1) visit Rice Stadium to take on the Rice Owls (2-6) on Nov. 2 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
Navy is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).
The Navy vs. Rice Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Navy vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Navy | -11.5 -105 | 51.5 -110 | -450 |
| Rice | +11.5 -115 | 51.5 -110 | +340 |
Navy vs Rice Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 81.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and Rice, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs Rice Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Navy have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Rice Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rice has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Navy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Navy Player Prop Bets Today
- Alex Tecza has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Blake Horvath has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 38.16% ROI).
- Navy is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 27.32% ROI
- Navy is 7-0 when betting the Over for +7 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Navy is 0-7 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -100% ROI
Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rice is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Rice is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -76.42% ROI
- Rice is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Rice is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Rice
Navy is 9-4 (.692) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .585
Navy is 7-2 (.700) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .541
Navy is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .674
Navy is 9-6 (.562) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .447
Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
Rice is 6-11 (.353) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .484
Rice is 3-13 (.188) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .450
Rice is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Rice is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. Rice
Rice’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 302 attempts this season — T-8th-worst among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Rice’s RBs have 48.2 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 9.6 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Rice’s RBs has been targeted 72 times this season — 2nd-most among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense has allowed 67 yards receiving to RBs — fewest among FBS defenses.
Navy’s QBs has thrown for 1,041 passing yards in 7 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 8th-worst among FBS teams. Rice’s defense has allowed just 164.1 passing yards per game this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 1,054 passing yards in 7 games (just 150.6 YPG) this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 164.1 passing yards per game this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s RBs have 117.3 receiving yards per game this season — best among FBS RBs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 18.9 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy WRs have averaged just 0.9 receptions per game (6/7) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Navy WRs have averaged 20.3 yards per reception (122 yards/6 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Navy Skill Players have averaged 18.8 yards per reception (923 yards/49 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Navy Skill Players have averaged 32.5 yards per reception (65 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Navy RBs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Rice Offensive Stats & Trends
Rice’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 302 attempts this season — T-8th-worst among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Rice RBs have been targeted 9.0 times per game (72/8) this season– T-2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Rice RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 63 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.3
Rice RBs have averaged 3.6 receptions per game (29/8) in the 2nd half this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 1.4
Rice RBs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-most among FBS Teams
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy opponents has averaged 13.0 Passing Attempts per TD (26 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Navy opponents has averaged 13.0 Passing Attempts per TD (26 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (7 completions/26 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
Navy has allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 24 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Navy has allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 24 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (25/208) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
Rice allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (9 completions/24 attempts) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Rice has intercepted 9 of 584 attempts (64.9 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.3
Rice has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (12 completions/15 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%
Rice has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (114 completions/208 attempts) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
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