- Florida International is a -8.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico State
- New Mexico State vs. Florida International Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The New Mexico State Aggies (2-5) visit South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium to take on the Florida International Panthers (2-6) on Oct. 29 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Florida International is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The New Mexico State vs. Florida International Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Florida International Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +8.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +260 |
| Florida International | -8.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -350 |
New Mexico State vs Florida International Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Florida International will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Florida International, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico State vs Florida International Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 games (+8.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Florida International Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- FIU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- FIU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- FIU have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- FIU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- FIU have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Bets Today
- Seth McGowan has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 93% ROI)
- PJ Johnson III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TJ Pride has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mike Washington has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida International players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida International Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kejon Owens has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eric Rivers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Keyone Jenkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dean Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -3.08% ROI
- New Mexico State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.23% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -30.72% ROI
Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida International is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- Florida International is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -46.47% ROI
- Florida International is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Florida International is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International
New Mexico State is 9-5 (.600) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .468
New Mexico State is 10-4 (.714) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .598
New Mexico State is 10-4 (.714) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .522
New Mexico State is 11-3 (.733) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .610
Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Florida International is 5-9 (.357) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .624
Florida International is 5-14 (.263) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .432
Florida International is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .476
Florida International is 5-13 (.278) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .424
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Florida International
Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 6.5 yards after the catch this season — T-34th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida International’s RBs has rushed for 697 yards on 170 carries (just 4.1 YPC) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida International’s RBs has 17 receptions in 8 games (just 2.1 per game) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receptions per game this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s QBs has thrown for 890 passing yards in 7 games (just 127.1 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS teams. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 184.0 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 890 passing yards in 7 games (just 127.1 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 184.0 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State has gained 890 yards on 81 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State’s QBs has thrown for 890 passing yards in 7 games (just 127.1 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS teams. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 184.0 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 890 passing yards in 7 games (just 127.1 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 184.0 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State has gained 890 yards on 81 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs has averaged 11.5 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State RBs have averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0
Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 6.5 yards after the catch this season — T-34th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida International RBs have averaged 1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (13 yards / 13 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Florida International RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (313 yards/84 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Florida International RBs have averaged just 4.1 Yards per Carry (697 yards/170 carries) this season– T-18th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Florida International RBs have averaged 3.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (371 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (28 completions/72 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 54%
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (28 completions/72 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (6 completions/18 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
New Mexico State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 53 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (62 completions/120 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Florida International Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida International has not recorded a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Florida International has not recorded a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5
Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 24 of 335 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Florida International did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 24 of 335 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
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