- North Carolina is a -3 point favorite vs. Boston College
- North Carolina vs. Boston College Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
The North Carolina Tar Heels (6-4) visit Alumni Stadium to take on the Boston College Eagles (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The North Carolina vs. Boston College Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
North Carolina | -3 -115 | 56.5 -110 | -155 |
Boston College | +3 -105 | 56.5 -110 | +130 |
North Carolina vs Boston College Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Carolina vs Boston College Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Boston College Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jacolby Criswell has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Bryson Nesbit has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobe Paysour has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jaedn Skeete has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.65 Units / -51.36% ROI).
- North Carolina is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -6.94% ROI
- North Carolina is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
- North Carolina is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Boston College is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 31.87% ROI
- Boston College is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Boston College is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College
North Carolina is 8-3 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: .526
North Carolina is 4-7 (.364) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .505
North Carolina is 4-8 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .455
North Carolina is 2-6 (.250) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .439
Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina
Boston College is 2-5 (.286) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471
Boston College is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .614
Boston College is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .618
Boston College is 6-9 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. Boston College
Boston College has gained 1,839 yards on 141 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
Boston College’s RBs has averaged 15.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
Boston College has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina has gained 6,237 yards on 476 receptions (13.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has 55 receptions in 10 games (5.5 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has gained 6,237 yards on 476 receptions (13.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has 55 receptions in 10 games (5.5 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina RBs rushed for 109 yards in the 1st quarter last week– T-most among FBS Teams
North Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina’s WRs have just 142.3 receiving yards per game this season — T-4th-worst among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 248.8 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends
Boston College has gained 1,839 yards on 141 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
Boston College’s RBs has averaged 15.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
Boston College has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College has gained 1,839 yards on 141 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
Boston College has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC this season — worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has allowed 47.3 receiving yards per game (473/10) to RBs this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.1
North Carolina has averaged 3.4 sacks per game this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 2.1
North Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (34/302) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
North Carolina has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 302 attempts (4%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
North Carolina has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 302 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Boston College has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9
Boston College has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Boston College has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3
Boston College has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1
Boston College has averaged a sack every 23.9 pass attempts (668 Pass Attempts/28 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
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