North Carolina vs Boston College Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

min read
Boston College quarterback Thomas Castellanos (1) rolls out during the second half of an NCAA college football game against UConn Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023 in Boston. (AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 19, 2024, 1:34 PM
  • North Carolina is a -3 point favorite vs. Boston College
  • North Carolina vs. Boston College Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

The North Carolina Tar Heels (6-4) visit Alumni Stadium to take on the Boston College Eagles (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The North Carolina vs. Boston College Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

Bet now on Boston College vs North Carolina & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

North Carolina vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-3 -11556.5 -110-155
Boston College +3 -10556.5 -110+130

North Carolina vs Boston College Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

North Carolina vs Boston College Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Boston College vs North Carolina and all games with BetMGM


  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

  • Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jacolby Criswell has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Bryson Nesbit has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kobe Paysour has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Omarion Hampton has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Jaedn Skeete has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.65 Units / -51.36% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -6.94% ROI
  • North Carolina is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • North Carolina is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Boston College is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 31.87% ROI
  • Boston College is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Boston College is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

North Carolina is 8-3 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: .526

North Carolina is 4-7 (.364) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

North Carolina is 4-8 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .455

North Carolina is 2-6 (.250) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .439

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

Boston College is 2-5 (.286) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471

Boston College is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .614

Boston College is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .618

Boston College is 6-9 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. Boston College

Boston College has gained 1,839 yards on 141 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s RBs has averaged 15.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

Boston College has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

North Carolina has gained 6,237 yards on 476 receptions (13.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina’s TEs has 55 receptions in 10 games (5.5 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina has gained 6,237 yards on 476 receptions (13.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina’s TEs has 55 receptions in 10 games (5.5 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina RBs rushed for 109 yards in the 1st quarter last week– T-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina’s WRs have just 142.3 receiving yards per game this season — T-4th-worst among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 248.8 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College has gained 1,839 yards on 141 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s RBs has averaged 15.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

Boston College has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Boston College has gained 1,839 yards on 141 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

Boston College has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC this season — worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina has allowed 47.3 receiving yards per game (473/10) to RBs this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.1

North Carolina has averaged 3.4 sacks per game this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

North Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (34/302) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 302 attempts (4%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 302 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9

Boston College has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Boston College has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Boston College has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1

Boston College has averaged a sack every 23.9 pass attempts (668 Pass Attempts/28 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0


Bet now on Boston College vs North Carolina and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.