- North Texas is a -11 point favorite vs. Temple
- North Texas vs. Temple Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The North Texas Mean Green (5-6) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Temple Owls (3-8) on Nov. 30 in Philadelphia, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -11 (-110).
The North Texas vs. Temple Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Temple Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | -11 -110 | 64.5 -110 | -400 |
| Temple | +11 -110 | 64.5 -110 | +300 |
North Texas vs Temple Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and Temple, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Temple Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 89.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Temple Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Temple has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Temple have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.30 Units / 79% ROI)
- Temple have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Temple has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Temple has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.45% ROI).
- North Texas is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -10.92% ROI
- North Texas is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- North Texas is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Temple is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI).
- Temple is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -33.9% ROI
- Temple is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Temple is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Temple
North Texas is winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
North Texas is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .432
North Texas is 1-4 (.200) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .333
North Texas is 3-8 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Temple: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Temple is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .534
Temple is winless (0-9) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
Temple is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .470
Temple is 3-14 (.176) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .381
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Temple
Temple’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 9.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Temple’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Temple has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch this season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 3,663 passing yards in 11 games (333.0 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Temple’s defense has allowed just 193.2 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Temple’s defense has allowed 11.1 RAC to RBs this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 3,694 passing yards in 11 games (335.8 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense has allowed just 193.2 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas WRs have 35 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas Skill Players had 9 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs have averaged 21.5 receptions per game (236/11) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
North Texas WRs have been targeted 33.8 times per game (777/23) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.7
North Texas WRs have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Temple Offensive Stats & Trends
Temple RBs have rushed for 5 TDs on 54 carries (10.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Temple TEs have been targeted 9.5 times per game (218/23) since the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8
Temple TEs have been targeted 5.0 times per game (114/23) in the 2nd half since the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6
Temple TEs were targeted 12.8 times per game (153/12) in the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Temple TEs were targeted 6.9 times per game (83/12) in the 2nd half in the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.5
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has forced 3 fumbles on 471 carries (157.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.1
North Texas has forced 3 fumbles on 471 carries (157.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 44.1
North Texas has forced 9 fumbles on 1,015 carries (112.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 42.4
North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 141.6
North Texas has forced 9 fumbles on 1,015 carries (112.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.0
Temple Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Temple allowed 9.0 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Temple has tackled opponents for a loss on just 39 of 452 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Temple intercepted 3 of 326 attempts (108.7 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.2
Temple has tackled opponents for a loss on just 39 of 452 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Temple allowed 9.0 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
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