Northwestern vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Maryland head coach Mike Locksley looks on during pre-game warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:09 PM
  • The Maryland is a -10 point favorite vs. Northwestern
  • The Northwestern vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Northwestern Wildcats (2-3) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (3-2) on Oct. 11 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Maryland is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Northwestern vs. Maryland Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+10 -11045.5 -115+290
Maryland -10 -11045.5 -105-375

Northwestern vs Maryland Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Northwestern vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 66.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.65 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.15 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.10 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today

  • Bryce Kirtz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Roman Hemby has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • Northwestern is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -9.21% ROI
  • Northwestern is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.22% ROI
  • Northwestern is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -24.32% ROI).

  • Maryland is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -3.14% ROI
  • Maryland is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Maryland is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .390

Northwestern is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .611

Northwestern is 6-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Maryland is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .729

Maryland is 11-7 (.611) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .451

Maryland is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .506

Maryland is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Maryland

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 1,524 passing yards in 5 games (304.8 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 254.2 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 1,524 passing yards in 5 games (304.8 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 254.2 passing yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s WRs has averaged 27.6 targets per game this season — 12th-highest among FBS WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 16.4 receptions per game to WRs this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 3,496 passing yards in 18 games (just 194.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 27th-worst among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 225.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 877 passing yards in 5 games (just 175.4 YPG) this season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 269.4 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 3,496 passing yards in 18 games (just 194.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 27th-worst among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 225.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 877 passing yards in 5 games (just 175.4 YPG) this season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 269.4 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 1,524 passing yards in 5 games (304.8 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 254.2 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 1,524 passing yards in 5 games (304.8 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 254.2 passing yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s WRs has averaged 27.6 targets per game this season — 12th-highest among FBS WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 16.4 receptions per game to WRs this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 1,524 passing yards in 5 games (304.8 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 254.2 passing yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s TEs has gained 239 yards on 19 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 11.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards last week– most in the Big Ten

Northwestern defense allowed 8 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most in the Big Ten

Northwestern defense allowed 8 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-most in FBS

Northwestern defense allowed 8 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has allowed 13.9 yards per completion (1,347 yards/97 completions) this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.6

Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (8 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (8 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

Maryland has averaged 1.39 interceptions per game (25/18) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 0.89

Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (8 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.