Oklahoma vs Mississippi Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

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Mississippi coach Lane Kiffin watches a play on the video board during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Central Arkansas in Oxford, Miss., Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:10 PM
  • The Mississippi is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma
  • The Oklahoma vs. Ole Miss Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Oklahoma Sooners (4-3) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (5-2) on Oct. 26 in Oxford, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).

The Oklahoma vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma+20.5 -10548.5 -110+950
Ole Miss -20.5 -11548.5 -110-2000

Oklahoma vs Ole Miss Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 92.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+2.60 Units / 4% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today

  • Brenen Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bauer Sharp has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jovantae Barnes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jovantae Barnes has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jackson Arnold has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ole Miss Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tre Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cayden Lee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Henry Parrish Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -18.59% ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.09% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Ole Miss is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -0.47% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -72.9% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 64.05% ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss

Oklahoma is undefeated (10-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Oklahoma is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604

Oklahoma is 13-3 (.812) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .658

Oklahoma is undefeated (10-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .599

Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Ole Miss is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .689

Ole Miss is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .700

Ole Miss is 13-3 (.812) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .676

Ole Miss is 14-3 (.824) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .610

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Ole Miss

Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 15.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 15.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 15.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma has gained 1,234 yards on 125 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma’s WRs has gained 854 yards on 74 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma’s offense has thrown for 1,232 passing yards in 7 games (just 176.0 YPG) this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 222.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has gained 1,234 yards on 125 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma’s WRs has gained 854 yards on 74 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma’s offense has thrown for 1,232 passing yards in 7 games (just 176.0 YPG) this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 222.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma has 435 receptions in 20 games (21.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma’s QBs has thrown for 5,462 passing yards in 20 games (273.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 227.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 15.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss QBs have 41 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 15.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 15.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.2% of 238 attempts this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Oklahoma had 20 interceptions in the 2023 season– most in the SEC

Oklahoma has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (25/196) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Oklahoma’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Oklahoma has allowed 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (517 yards / 59 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2

Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Ole Miss has allowed one rushing TD on 22 carries in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.5

Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the SEC; Average: 12%.

Ole Miss has allowed one rushing TD on 238 carries this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.