- San Jose St is a -3.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- South Florida vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The South Florida Bulls (6-6) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on the San Jose State Spartans (7-5) on Dec. 24 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
San Jose St is a betting favorite in the Hawaii Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The South Florida vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | +3.5 -105 | 61.5 -105 | +150 |
| San Jose State | -3.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 | -185 |
South Florida vs San Jose State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 56.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on San Jose St vs South Florida and all games with BetMGM
South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
San Jose State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today
- Sean Atkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Jose State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- South Florida is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -7.4% ROI
- South Florida is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
- South Florida is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.17% ROI).
- San Jose State is 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 8.88% ROI
- San Jose State is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- San Jose State is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
South Florida is undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .608
South Florida is 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
South Florida is undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .571
South Florida is 1-2 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .534
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .617
San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565
San Jose State is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .434
San Jose State is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .666
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. San Jose State
San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 3,910 passing yards in 12 games (325.8 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense has allowed 278.7 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 3,868 passing yards in 12 games (322.3 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 278.7 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 1,813 yards on 314 carries (5.8 YPC) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 1,813 yards on 314 carries (5.8 YPC) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense have allowed just 4.3 YPC to RBs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Bryce Archie (USF) has just 1.0 TDs per interception (9/9) this season — T-7th-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 0.8 TDs per Interception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (588 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
South Florida WRs have fumbled 8 times this season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Florida QBs have 15 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-5th-most among FBS Teams
South Florida WRs have averaged 14.9 receptions per game (179/12) this season– T-28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 1,813 yards on 314 carries (5.8 YPC) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 3,910 passing yards in 12 games (325.8 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense has allowed 278.7 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 3,868 passing yards in 12 games (322.3 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 278.7 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
San Jose State has gained 6,752 yards on 509 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 34 of 139 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 72 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 72 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 34 of 139 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
South Florida has allowed first downs on 53% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30%
San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 68 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
San Jose State has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 20 carries on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%
San Jose State has averaged 1.67 interceptions per game (20/12) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 0.84
San Jose State has averaged 1.67 interceptions per game (20/12) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.79
San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
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