Stanford vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman looks at the scoreboard during the first half of the team's NCAA college football game against Stanford in South Bend, Ind., Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:11 PM
  • The Notre Dame is a -23.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • The Stanford vs. Notre Dame Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Stanford Cardinal (2-3) visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Notre Dame, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).

The Stanford vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Stanford vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+23.5 -11045.5 -115+1100
Notre Dame -23.5 -11045.5 -105-2500

Stanford vs Notre Dame Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and Notre Dame, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 72.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+9.20 Units / 184% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today

  • Elic Ayomanor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Sam Roush has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Tiger Bachmeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Ashton Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Notre Dame Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jeremiyah Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Steve Angeli has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 59% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Stanford is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 31.67% ROI
  • Stanford is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
  • Stanford is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 16.22% ROI).

  • Notre Dame is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 4.12% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -22.52% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 16.51% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

Stanford is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604

Stanford is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .542

Stanford is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504

Stanford is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Notre Dame is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .682

Notre Dame is 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .543

Notre Dame is 13-2 (.867) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .630

Notre Dame is 12-3 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .646

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame’s WRs has 188 receptions in 18 games (just 10.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. Stanford’s defense has allowed 22.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 858 passing yards in 5 games (just 171.6 YPG) this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 270.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 858 passing yards in 5 games (just 171.6 YPG) this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 270.4 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 908 passing yards in 5 games (just 181.6 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 161.0 passing yards per game this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 908 passing yards in 5 games (just 181.6 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 161.0 passing yards per game this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s QBs has thrown for 889 passing yards in 5 games (just 177.8 YPG) this season — 27th-worst among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 161.0 passing yards per game this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s TEs has gained 636 yards on 58 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame WRs have averaged a touchdown every 29.0 receptions (58 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2

Notre Dame TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame’s WRs has 188 receptions in 18 games (just 10.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. Stanford’s defense has allowed 22.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 858 passing yards in 5 games (just 171.6 YPG) this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 270.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame QBs have rushed for 8 TDs this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has allowed 3.6 touchdowns per interception (43 TDs allowed, and 12 INT) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Stanford has allowed 43 TD passes since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Stanford has allowed 24 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Stanford has allowed 24 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS

Stanford has allowed 43 TD passes since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame opponents has averaged 40.2 Passing Attempts per TD (522 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.5

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (266 completions/522 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (71 completions/151 attempts) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame has allowed one rushing TD on 171 carries this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 24.4

Notre Dame has allowed opponents to catch just 71 of 147 passes (48% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 62%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.