- Ohio State is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Tennessee
- Tennessee vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Tennessee Volunteers (10-2) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) on Dec. 21 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in the First Round of the College Football Playoffs, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (+100).
The Tennessee vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Tennessee vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tennessee | +7.5 -120 | 46.5 -105 | +220 |
| Ohio State | -7.5 +100 | 46.5 -115 | -275 |
Tennessee vs Ohio State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 70.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Ohio State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tennessee vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+2.95 Units / 0% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jeremiah Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Carnell Tate has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Tennessee is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 0.18% ROI
- Tennessee is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- Tennessee is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ohio State is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -0.29% ROI
- Ohio State is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Ohio State is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Tennessee is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Tennessee is undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .699
Tennessee is 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .611
Tennessee is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .631
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Ohio State is undefeated (9-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .621
Ohio State is 20-3 (.870) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .577
Ohio State is 11-3 (.786) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .427
Ohio State is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487
Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Ohio State
Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 344 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Tennessee’s TEs has 93 receptions in 24 games (3.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Tennessee’s TEs has 93 receptions in 24 games (3.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Tennessee has gained 5,893 yards on 481 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 344 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 9.9 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs has gained 317 yards on 28 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 350 attempts (0%) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 90 of 422 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Tennessee has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 422 carries (46.9 Carries Per TD) this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 23.1
Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 54 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 15%.
Tennessee has allowed just 10.9 receiving yards per game (131/12) to RBs this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.9
Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State opponents has averaged 51.8 Passing Attempts per TD (673 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.4
Ohio State opponents has averaged 74.2 Passing Attempts per TD (297 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.1
Ohio State opponents has averaged 51.8 Passing Attempts per TD (673 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.4
Ohio State opponents has averaged 51.8 Passing Attempts per TD (673 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7
Ohio State opponents has averaged 74.2 Passing Attempts per TD (297 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.3
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