Texas State vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

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Old Dominion's Grant Wilson (13) runs the ball against Liberty during the second half an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Lynchburg, Va. (AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
(AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 1:52 PM
  • The Texas State is a -10 point favorite vs. Old Dominion
  • The Texas State vs. Old Dominion Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (4-2) visit Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium to take on the Old Dominion Monarchs (2-4) on Oct. 19 in Norfolk, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Texas State is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Texas State vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

Bet now on Old Dominion vs Texas State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Texas State vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State-10 -11061.5 -110-400
Old Dominion +10 -11061.5 -110+300

Texas State vs Old Dominion Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Old Dominion, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas State vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Old Dominion will cover the spread with 86.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Old Dominion vs Texas State and all games with BetMGM


  • Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Ismail Mahdi has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kole Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan McCloud has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Joey Hobert has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan McCloud has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas State is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI).

  • Texas State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -13.01% ROI
  • Texas State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
  • Texas State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 7.2% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

Texas State is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .615

Texas State is 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383

Texas State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Texas State is 10-6 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .451

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State

Old Dominion is 4-7 (.364) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .540

Old Dominion is 8-11 (.421) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .627

Old Dominion is 3-9 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .388

Old Dominion is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415

Matchup Notes for Texas State vs. Old Dominion

Texas State’s offense has thrown for 1,748 passing yards in 6 games (291.3 YPG) this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 250.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas State WRs have caught 19 touchdown passes this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas State’s offense has thrown for 1,748 passing yards in 6 games (291.3 YPG) this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 250.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas State WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Texas State RBs have fumbled 13 times since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Texas State WRs have averaged 18.8 receptions per game (357/19) since the 2023 season– 8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion TEs have caught just 2 of 8 passes (25% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 64%

Old Dominion have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (80/535) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Old Dominion QBs rushed for 51 yards in close and late situations last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 9 of their 176 total passing attempts (5%) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%

Old Dominion QBs have fumbled 8 times this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas State has sacked opponents 24 times this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Texas State has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Texas State has sacked opponents 11 times on 1st down this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Texas State has sacked opponents 25 times on 1st down since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Texas State has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (62/623) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Old Dominion Monarchs Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion has allowed 20 rushing TDs on 142 carries (7.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Old Dominion allowed 12 rushing TDs on 103 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Old Dominion has forced 29 fumbles since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Old Dominion has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 19 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Old Dominion has forced 11 fumbles this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.