- Arkansas is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Texas Tech
- Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6) on Dec. 27 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Arkansas is a betting favorite in the Liberty Bowl, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | +1.5 -115 | 60.5 -110 | -105 |
| Arkansas | -1.5 -105 | 60.5 -110 | -115 |
Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 56.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Arkansas vs Texas Tech and all games with BetMGM
Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Caleb Douglas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tyrone Broden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Braylen Russell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luke Hasz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 19.62% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 30.08% ROI
- Texas Tech is 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Texas Tech is 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Arkansas is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 4.51% ROI
- Arkansas is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Texas Tech is 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .434
Texas Tech is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487
Texas Tech is 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .532
Texas Tech is 11-4 (.733) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .597
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .445
Arkansas is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .469
Arkansas is 3-9 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .461
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Arkansas
Arkansas’s WRs has averaged just 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among SEC WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 3,229 passing yards in 12 games (269.1 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 306.2 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 3,229 passing yards in 12 games (269.1 YPG) this season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 306.2 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged 29.3 targets per game this season — highest among Big 12 WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 3,580 passing yards in 12 games (298.3 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 50 receptions in 12 games (4.2 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged 29.3 targets per game this season — highest among Big 12 WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 3,580 passing yards in 12 games (298.3 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 50 receptions in 12 games (4.2 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 3,502 passing yards in 12 games (291.8 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas Tech Skill Players have averaged 26.3 receptions per game (316/12) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 18.9
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas WRs have averaged a touchdown every 24.4 receptions (171 Rec/7 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
Arkansas WRs have averaged a touchdown every 24.4 receptions (171 Rec/7 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.5
Arkansas’s WRs has averaged just 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among SEC WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 3,229 passing yards in 12 games (269.1 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 306.2 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas RBs have averaged 7.4 Yards per Carry (467 yards/63 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has allowed 306.2 Passing Yards per game (3,674/12) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 217.7
Texas Tech has allowed 50.2 receiving yards per game (602/12) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 24.9
Opponents have averaged 24.5 completions per game (294 / 12) against Texas Tech this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.6
Texas Tech has allowed 294 completions this season– most in the Big 12
Opponents have averaged 24.5 completions per game (294 / 12) against Texas Tech this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas has no interceptions and 24 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 8.7
Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Arkansas has no interceptions and 10 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.4
Arkansas has no interceptions and 24 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.9
Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 31 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.
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