- The TCU is a -7 point favorite vs. Texas Tech
- The Texas Tech vs. TCU Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-2) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Fort Worth, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
TCU is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).
The Texas Tech vs. TCU Over/Under is 66.5 total points.
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Texas Tech vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | +7 -115 | 66.5 -110 | +220 |
| TCU | -7 -105 | 66.5 -110 | -275 |
Texas Tech vs TCU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 66.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and TCU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs TCU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- TCU have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Caleb Douglas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for TCU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best TCU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Josh Hoover has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Cam Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Josh Hoover has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Drake Dabney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Savion Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.87% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 11.93% ROI
- Texas Tech is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Texas Tech is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.55 Units / -46.1% ROI).
- TCU is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -45.86% ROI
- TCU is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- TCU is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. TCU
Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .540
Texas Tech is 11-8 (.579) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .449
Texas Tech is 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .629
Texas Tech is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .593
TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
TCU is 2-8 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
TCU is 4-10 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
TCU is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
TCU is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. TCU
TCU has 510 receptions in 19 games (26.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s WRs has 364 receptions in 19 games (19.2 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s WRs has 364 receptions in 19 games (19.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 2,047 passing yards in 7 games (292.4 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed just 161.7 passing yards per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 2,047 passing yards in 7 games (292.4 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed just 161.7 passing yards per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has 356 receptions in 20 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 18.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has 356 receptions in 20 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 18.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends
TCU has 510 receptions in 19 games (26.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s WRs has 364 receptions in 19 games (19.2 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s WRs has 364 receptions in 19 games (19.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s WRs has 364 receptions in 19 games (19.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Power 5 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s QBs has thrown for 2,305 passing yards in 7 games (329.3 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 303.1 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on just 25 of 241 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Texas Tech has averaged a sack every 44.0 pass attempts (264 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.6
Texas Tech has allowed 61.6 receiving yards per game (431/7) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.0
Texas Tech has averaged a sack every 44.0 pass attempts (264 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.4
Texas Tech has allowed 17 rushing TDs this season– most in the Big 12
TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends
TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 36 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
TCU has allowed 161.7 Passing Yards per game (1,132/7) this season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 214.1
TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 118 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.
TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 36 of 271 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
TCU has allowed just 161.7 receiving yards per game (1,132/7) this season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 214.0
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