Tulane vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2024, 4:10 PM

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North Texas wide receiver Damon Ward Jr. sprints after the snap during the second half of an NCAA football game against UTEP on Saturday, Aug. 27, 2022, in El Paso, Texas. (AP Photo/Andres Leighton)

(AP Photo/Andres Leighton)

The Tulane is a -7.5 point favorite vs. North Texas
The Tulane vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN2

The Tulane Green Wave (5-2) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (5-2) on Oct. 26 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Tulane vs. North Texas Over/Under is 65.5 total points.

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Tulane vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Tulane	-7.5 -110	65.5 -105	-300
North Texas	+7.5 -110	65.5 -115	+240

Tulane vs North Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Tulane Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 3% ROI)
Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Tulane has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)

North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
North Texas have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)
North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulane Player Prop Bets Today

Darian Mensah has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Makhi Hughes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Yulkeith Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Alex Bauman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

Tulane is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 2.27% ROI
Tulane is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Tulane is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI).

North Texas is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 27.32% ROI
North Texas is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
North Texas is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

Tulane is 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .573

Tulane is 8-3 (.727) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382

Tulane is 16-2 (.889) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: .648

Tulane is 10-3 (.769) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

North Texas is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588

North Texas is 1-5 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369

North Texas is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .629

North Texas is 8-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .518

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. North Texas

North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 2,493 passing yards in 7 games (356.1 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 194.4 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

North Texas has 475 receptions in 19 games (25.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas has gained 6,181 yards on 475 receptions (13.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 162 attempts this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs has averaged 15.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs has gained 1,144 yards on 71 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — T-10th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 530 attempts since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane has gained 1,486 yards on 102 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas QBs have 8 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs have averaged 21.4 receptions per game (150/7) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

North Texas QBs have 22 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 3 of 105 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Tulane has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulane has allowed 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (77 yards / 37 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 123 of 645 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 9 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

North Texas has sacked opponents 4 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS

North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 799 carries (133.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.0

North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 799 carries (133.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.7

North Texas has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.9