- South Florida is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
- Tulsa vs. South Florida Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-7) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).
The Tulsa vs. South Florida Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
Bet now on South Florida vs Tulsa & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Tulsa vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tulsa | +17.5 -115 | 60.5 -110 | +550 |
| South Florida | -17.5 -105 | 60.5 -110 | -800 |
Tulsa vs South Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 86.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and South Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tulsa vs South Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on South Florida vs Tulsa and all games with BetMGM
Tulsa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tulsa have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulsa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tulsa Player Prop Bets Today
- Bill Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kamdyn Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Sean Atkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tulsa is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -3.69% ROI).
- Tulsa is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -32.78% ROI
- Tulsa is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Tulsa is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- South Florida is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -5.67% ROI
- South Florida is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
- South Florida is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Tulsa is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .471
Tulsa is 7-15 (.318) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .619
Tulsa is 5-7 (.417) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Tulsa is 5-14 (.263) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .424
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa
South Florida is undefeated (5-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
South Florida is undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
South Florida is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .505
South Florida is 3-5 (.375) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. South Florida
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 24.8 targets per game this season — T-21st-highest among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch this season — T-9th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 15.0 RAC to WRs this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 2.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs have 34.0 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS RBs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 31.7 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs have 34.0 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS RBs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 265.9 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Cooper Legas (TSA) has averaged just just 14.8 pass attempts per game this season — T-5th-lowest of Qualified Quarterbacks. South Florida’s defense has faced an average of 33.7 pass attempts per game this season — 27th-highest among FBS defenses.
Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa RBs have rushed for 11 TDs on 644 carries (58.5 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9
Tulsa RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 241 carries (80.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 7th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1
Tulsa WRs have averaged just 10.2 yards per reception (245 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 9th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Tulsa QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa’s RBs have 34.0 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS RBs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 31.7 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida WRs have averaged a touchdown every 27.2 receptions (136 Rec/5 TDs) this season– 7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 24.8 targets per game this season — T-21st-highest among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida RBs rushed for 6 TDs last week– most among FBS Teams
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch this season — T-9th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 15.0 RAC to WRs this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (508 yards/71 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa has no interceptions and 27 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1
Tulsa has allowed 293.1 Passing Yards per game (6,449/22) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 221.1
Tulsa has no interceptions (82 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.8
Tulsa has allowed 309.1 Passing Yards per game (3,091/10) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 218.6
Tulsa has allowed 29 TD passes this season– 2nd-most in FBS
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 121 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 121 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (43 completions/62 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
South Florida has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 54 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Bet now on South Florida vs Tulsa and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
