UNLV vs Oregon St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 16, 2024, 7:20 PM

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Oregon State wide receiver Jeremiah Noga (18) plays during the second half of an NCAA college football game against UC Davis Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Corvallis, Ore. Oregon State won 55-7. (AP Photo/Amanda Loman)

(AP Photo/Amanda Loman)

The UNLV is a -7 point favorite vs. Oregon St
The UNLV vs. Oregon State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
TV Channel: CW

The UNLV Rebels (5-1) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (4-2) on Oct. 19 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT.

UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The UNLV vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

Bet now on Oregon St vs UNLV & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UNLV vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UNLV	-7 -110	61.5 -110	-275
Oregon State	+7 -110	61.5 -110	+220

UNLV vs Oregon State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UNLV vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 67.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
UNLV have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)

Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Oregon State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.75 Units / 7% ROI)
Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UNLV Player Prop Bets Today

Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

UNLV is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 26.3% ROI
UNLV is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
UNLV is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon St is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Oregon State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 5.13% ROI
Oregon State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Oregon State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

UNLV is 13-4 (.765) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .589

UNLV is 13-4 (.765) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

UNLV is 7-3 (.700) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .457

UNLV is 13-4 (.765) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .627

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

Oregon State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .623

Oregon State is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .680

Oregon State is 11-3 (.786) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .646

Oregon State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: .613

Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. Oregon State

Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 1,108 passing yards in 6 games (just 184.7 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 286.7 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 112 attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 1,048 passing yards in 6 games (just 174.7 YPG) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 171.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV RBs rushed for 105 yards in the 1st quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

UNLV Skill Players have averaged just 11.8 receptions per game (71/6) this season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

UNLV RBs have rushed for 12 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 36.5 receptions (73 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4

Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 36.5 receptions (73 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

Oregon State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 34.7 receptions (104 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV has 13 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UNLV has allowed 91 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most in FBS

UNLV has 13 interceptions this season– T-most in FBS

UNLV has averaged 2.17 interceptions per game (13/6) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.75

Opponents have averaged 26.8 completions per game (161 / 6) against UNLV this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.7

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 11 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 11 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 39.0 pass attempts (156 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1

Oregon State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 16 of their 184 carries (9%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Oregon State has allowed 6.4 Yards per Carry (1,186 yards/184 carries) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8