- The USC is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
- The USC vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The USC Trojans (3-3) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (3-3) on Oct. 19 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
USC is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The USC vs. Maryland Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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USC vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| USC | -7.5 -105 | 56.5 -110 | -275 |
| Maryland | +7.5 -115 | 56.5 -110 | +225 |
USC vs Maryland Prediction:
The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
USC vs Maryland Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 62.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- USC has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- USC have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best USC Player Prop Bets Today
- Zachariah Branch has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Woody Marks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ja’Kobi Lane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kyron Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Woody Marks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.07% ROI).
- USC is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -2.17% ROI
- USC is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- USC is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI).
- Maryland is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -15.24% ROI
- Maryland is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Maryland is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
USC: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
USC is 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .601
USC is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .645
USC is 4-6 (.364) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .506
USC was 2-5 (.250) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. USC
Maryland is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .679
Maryland is 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .438
Maryland is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .722
Maryland is 11-8 (.579) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .451
Matchup Notes for USC vs. Maryland
Maryland’s TEs has gained 315 yards on 25 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland has averaged 39.8 targets per game this season — 2nd-highest among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed 5.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs have 224.3 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 59.7 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
USC’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 246 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
USC’s offense has thrown for 1,684 passing yards in 6 games (280.7 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 258.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
USC’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 246 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC Offensive Stats & Trends
USC’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 246 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
USC’s offense has thrown for 1,684 passing yards in 6 games (280.7 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 258.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
USC TEs have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.6
USC’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 246 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC RBs have averaged 6.6 Yards per Carry (2,463 yards/376 carries) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland’s TEs has gained 315 yards on 25 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland WRs had no touchdowns on 19 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3
Maryland has averaged 39.8 targets per game this season — 2nd-highest among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed 5.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs have 224.3 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 59.7 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs have 224.3 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed just 108.2 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
USC has sacked opposing QBs just once on 67 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
USC did not record a sack (44 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6
USC has allowed first downs on 4% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 28%
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (16 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 61%
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (16 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 62%
Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland allowed passes of 40+ yards on 3 of 18 attempts (17%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2%
Maryland allowed 20.3 yards per completion (203 yards/10 completions) last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9
Maryland has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 7 of 192 attempts (4%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1%
Maryland has allowed 14.5 yards per completion (1,550 yards/107 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.8
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (8 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
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