USC vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Nov 01, 2024, 3:23 PM

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Washington linebacker Alphonzo Tuputala is pictured during an NCAA football game against Boise State on Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, in Seattle. Washington won 56-19. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)

(AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)

USC is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Washington
USC vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
TV Channel: BTN

The USC Trojans (4-4) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington Huskies (4-4) on Nov. 2 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

USC is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The USC vs. Washington Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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USC vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
USC	-2.5 -115	55.5 -110	-145
Washington	+2.5 -105	55.5 -110	+120

USC vs Washington Prediction:

The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

USC vs Washington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

USC have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.05 Units / 72% ROI)
USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
USC has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
USC have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Washington Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Washington has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Washington have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Washington have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best USC Player Prop Bets Today

Makai Lemon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kyron Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Woody Marks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Ja’Kobi Lane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jonah Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jonah Coleman has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Denzel Boston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Will Rogers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI).

USC is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -3.25% ROI
USC is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
USC is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -16.38% ROI).

Washington is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -6.48% ROI
Washington is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Washington is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

USC is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .640

USC is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .598

USC is 4-7 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .531

USC is 4-7 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. USC

Washington is undefeated (17-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .785

Washington is undefeated (17-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .753

Washington is 10-2 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Washington is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .588

Matchup Notes for USC vs. Washington

Washington’s QBs has thrown for 2,264 passing yards in 8 games (283.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. USC’s defense has allowed 234.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 2,264 passing yards in 8 games (283.0 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. USC’s defense has allowed 234.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Washington has averaged 33.2 targets per game this season — 3rd-highest among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed 5.1 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

USC has gained 2,328 yards on 211 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

USC’s QBs has thrown for 2,328 passing yards in 8 games (291.0 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS teams. Washington’s defense has allowed just 123.1 passing yards per game this season — best among FBS defenses.

USC’s offense has thrown for 2,328 passing yards in 8 games (291.0 YPG) this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed just 123.1 passing yards per game this season — best among FBS defenses.

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

USC TEs have no touchdowns on 25 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8

USC WRs have averaged 19.2 receptions per game (403/21) since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington Skill Players have no touchdowns on 31 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Washington Skill Players have no touchdowns on 31 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.9

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

USC has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 17.0

USC has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3

USC has sacked opposing QBs just once on 80 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

USC has sacked opposing QBs just once on 80 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9

USC has sacked opposing QBs just once on 80 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.9

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (98 completions/202 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 62%

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 12% (2 completions/16 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%

Washington opponents has averaged 5.7 Passing Attempts per TD (86 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 12% (2 completions/16 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 58%

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 12% (2 completions/16 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%