- Texas is a -35.5 point favorite vs. UTSA
- UTSA vs. Texas Total(Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The UTSA Roadrunners (1-1) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -35.5 (-110).
The UTSA vs. Texas Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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UTSA vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTSA | +35.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | + |
| Texas | -35.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | + |
UTSA vs Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTSA vs Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 83.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTSA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTSA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTSA Player Prop Bets Today
- Kevorian Barnes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Devin McCuin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTSA is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- UTSA is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- UTSA is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
- UTSA is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 86.96% ROI).
- Texas is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 40.82% ROI
- Texas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
UTSA is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .394
UTSA is 9-1 (.900) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
UTSA is 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
UTSA is 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Texas is undefeated (9-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .497
Texas is undefeated (5-0) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439
Texas is undefeated (10-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .438
Texas is 10-2 (.714) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Texas
Texas’s offense has thrown for 601 passing yards in 2 games (300.5 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 255.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.9% of 69 attempts this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.4% of attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas’s QBs has thrown for 601 passing yards in 2 games (300.5 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS teams. UTSA’s defense has allowed 255.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s QBs has thrown for 592 passing yards in 2 games (296.0 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS teams. Texas’s defense has allowed just 139.0 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s offense has thrown for 592 passing yards in 2 games (296.0 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 139.0 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA have 296.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 139.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA’s QBs has thrown for 592 passing yards in 2 games (296.0 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS teams. Texas’s defense has allowed just 139.0 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s offense has thrown for 592 passing yards in 2 games (296.0 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 139.0 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA WRs have been targeted 12 times in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
UTSA RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 46 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19
UTSA RBs have no touchdowns on 74 receptions since the 2022 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.3
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas’s offense has thrown for 601 passing yards in 2 games (300.5 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 255.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas WRs have averaged 22.5 yards per reception (473 yards/21 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.3
Texas TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Texas WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (14 completions/47 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 53%
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (34 completions/99 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
UTSA has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (49/508) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (14 completions/47 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 14 of 47 passes (30% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 72 carries (10.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 5.1
Texas has allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (3,155 yards/316 completions) since the 2022 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 12.0
Texas has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 73 carries (10.4 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8
Texas has allowed 14 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2022 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas has allowed 17 rushing TDs on 134 carries (7.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
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