West Virginia vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

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Arizona quarterback Noah Fifita looks for a receiver during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Washington State, Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Pullman, Wash. (AP Photo/Young Kwak)
(AP Photo/Young Kwak)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:11 PM
  • The Arizona is a -3 point favorite vs. West Virginia
  • The West Virginia vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The West Virginia Mountaineers (3-4) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (3-4) on Oct. 26 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The West Virginia vs. Arizona Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
West Virginia+3 -11054.5 -105+125
Arizona -3 -11054.5 -115-150

West Virginia vs Arizona Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 58.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

West Virginia vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best West Virginia Player Prop Bets Today

  • Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • CJ Donaldson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Montana Lemonious-Craig has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.16% ROI).

  • West Virginia is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -32.03% ROI
  • West Virginia is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • West Virginia is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona is 1-6 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -72.61% ROI).

  • Arizona is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -2.42% ROI
  • Arizona is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Arizona is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

West Virginia is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .416

West Virginia is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .689

West Virginia is 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .505

West Virginia is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .335

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

Arizona is 6-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Arizona is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .676

Arizona is 11-4 (.688) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .587

Arizona is 8-3 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .531

Matchup Notes for West Virginia vs. Arizona

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 257 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.2% of attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 257 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.2% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Arizona’s RBs has averaged 9.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS RBs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 6.4 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s TEs has gained 328 yards on 28 receptions (11.7 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s TEs has 28 receptions in 7 games (4.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has 71 receptions in 7 games (just 10.1 per game) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia’s TEs has gained 328 yards on 28 receptions (11.7 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia Skill Players have caught just 1 of 8 passes (12% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 66%

West Virginia Skill Players have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (22 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4

West Virginia’s TEs has 28 receptions in 7 games (4.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia Skill Players caught just 1 of 5 passes(20% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 72%

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona TEs have averaged 28.0 yards per reception (56 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.5

Arizona WRs have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (299 yards/13 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.7

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 257 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.2% of attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 257 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.2% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Arizona Skill Players have averaged 20.7 yards per reception (372 yards/18 catches) on 3rd and long this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4

West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 191 attempts (6%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%

West Virginia has allowed 15.2 yards per completion (1,780 yards/117 completions) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4

West Virginia has forced one fumble on 244 carries this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.7

West Virginia has forced one fumble on 244 carries this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 53.8

West Virginia has allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (15 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.4

Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 9 carries on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23%

Arizona has allowed 8 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most in the Big 12

Arizona has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (12/226) this season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Arizona has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 9 of 660 attempts (1%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 2%

Arizona has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (12/226) this season– 35th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.