- Iowa is a -3 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
- Wisconsin vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC
The Wisconsin Badgers (5-3) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (5-3) on Nov. 2 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Wisconsin vs. Iowa Over/Under is 41.5 total points.
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Wisconsin vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Wisconsin | +3 -110 | 41.5 -110 | +135 |
| Iowa | -3 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -165 |
Wisconsin vs Iowa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wisconsin vs Iowa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today
- Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Bryson Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tawee Walker has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Braedyn Locke has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Reece Vander Zee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.08% ROI
- Wisconsin is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Wisconsin is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -6.21% ROI).
- Iowa is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -2.38% ROI
- Iowa is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Iowa is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Wisconsin is winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .286
Wisconsin is 12-2 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .674
Wisconsin is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .445
Wisconsin is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 38th-best in FBS; Average: .610
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .680
Iowa is 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .638
Iowa is 15-5 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .628
Iowa is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .286
Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Iowa
Iowa’s TEs has 42 receptions in 8 games (5.2 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa has gained 1,092 yards on 112 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 1,110 passing yards in 8 games (just 138.8 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 167.1 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has 18 receptions in 8 games (just 2.2 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 146 yards on 18 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — 30th-worst among FBS RBs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 3.5 RAC to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin’s TEs has 18 receptions in 8 games (just 2.2 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (40 Rec/10 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 146 yards on 18 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — 30th-worst among FBS RBs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 3.5 RAC to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — 30th-worst among FBS RBs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 RAC this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa WRs have averaged just 5.5 receptions per game (120/22) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.9
Iowa TEs were targeted 5 times on 3rd down last week– most among Big Ten Teams
Iowa’s TEs has 42 receptions in 8 games (5.2 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa has gained 1,092 yards on 112 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 1,110 passing yards in 8 games (just 138.8 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 167.1 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin has intercepted 3 of 218 attempts (72.7 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 33.3
Wisconsin’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (52 PATs) since the 2023 season– lowest in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Wisconsin has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 6 of 13 carries (46%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Wisconsin has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 24 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6%.
Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 735 carries (81.7 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.3
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 237 carries (118.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 27.7
Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 735 carries (81.7 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 23.9
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 237 carries (118.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.7
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 25 carries (12.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
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