- The Wisconsin is a -7 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- The Wisconsin vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Wisconsin Badgers (4-2) visit Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (3-3) on Oct. 19 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Wisconsin is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The Wisconsin vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 41.5 total points.
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Wisconsin vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Wisconsin | -7 -115 | 41.5 -110 | -275 |
| Northwestern | +7 -105 | 41.5 -110 | +225 |
Wisconsin vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wisconsin vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 67.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today
- Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Tyler Van Dyke has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bryson Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chez Mellusi has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bryce Kirtz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mike Wright has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Mike Wright has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jack Lausch has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.49% ROI
- Wisconsin is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Wisconsin is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.64% ROI).
- Northwestern is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 3.4% ROI
- Northwestern is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Northwestern is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Wisconsin is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .285
Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668
Wisconsin is 11-2 (.846) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .679
Wisconsin is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .623
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .388
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443
Northwestern is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .542
Northwestern is 6-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Northwestern
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 180 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.4% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 1,080 passing yards in 6 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 168.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 1,080 passing yards in 6 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 168.2 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has 15 receptions in 6 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has 15 receptions in 6 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 1,066 yards on 72 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.9 receptions (35 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.0
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 19.4 receptions (388 Rec/20 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.9 receptions (35 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Wisconsin WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.0 receptions (21 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.9
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.5 receptions (9 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern WRs have averaged a touchdown every 23.0 receptions (69 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 180 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.4% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern Skill Players averaged 20.3 yards per reception (203 yards/10 catches) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 1,080 passing yards in 6 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 168.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern WRs have caught just 5 of 22 passes (23% Reception Pct) on 3rd down this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (12 completions/32 attempts) last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 64%
Wisconsin opponents has averaged 9.5 Passing Attempts per TD (19 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Wisconsin allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (7 completions/20 attempts) in the 1st half last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%
Wisconsin allowed opponents to catch just 12 of 32 passes (38% Reception Pct) last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 65%
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern allowed 0 yards from scrimmage per touch (0 yards / 10 touches) in the Red Zone last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 4.1
Northwestern allowed no passing TDs (51 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 21.5
Northwestern has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.9
Northwestern has allowed 8 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Northwestern has allowed 34 first down receptions on 1st down this season– most in the Big Ten
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