Davidson vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

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Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 10:51 AM
  • Dayton (13-12) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Davidson (14-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Davidson / Dayton TV channel: CBSSN

The Davidson Wildcats (14-11) visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers (13-12) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Davidson vs. Dayton Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Davidson vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Davidson+10.5 -115O 132.5 -110+390
Dayton -10.5 -105U 132.5 -110-550

Davidson vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Davidson vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Davidson has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Davidson have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+0.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in their last 16 games at home (+16.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+0.95 Units / 1% ROI)

Davidson Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Davidson has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.95 Units / 7.1% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 4.81% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI).

  • 20-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 11.98% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.95 Units / 6.84% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -15.51% ROI

Davidson Offensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson has averaged 71.6 points per game (1,576 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Davidson has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,576 points/1,254 shots) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Davidson has averaged 12.8 assists per game (282 assists/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Davidson is shooting 33% from three (396/1,215) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (851 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (333 assists/ 216 TOs) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Davidson Defensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson has averaged 5.8 steals per game (315 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Davidson has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,334/3,053) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,480 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (282 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.