Dayton vs St. Bonaventure Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 12:37 PM
  • Dayton (15-8) are -5.5 point favorites vs St. Bonaventure (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Dayton Flyers (15-8) visit Reilly Center to take on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (12-11) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in St. Bonaventure.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Dayton vs. St. Bonaventure Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. St. Bonaventure Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton-5.5 -105O 128.5 -105-225
St. Bonaventure +5.5 -115U 128.5 -115+180

Dayton vs St. Bonaventure Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Dayton will win this game with 61.7% confidence.

Dayton vs St. Bonaventure Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Dayton and St. Bonaventure, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 49 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • St. Bonaventure have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • St. Bonaventure has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • St. Bonaventure has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • St. Bonaventure has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • St. Bonaventure have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has gone 9-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -6.07% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI

St. Bonaventure Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. Bonaventure has gone 14-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 4.57% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has averaged 15.1 assists per game (347 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dayton has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (347 assists/ 301 TOs) this season — 3rd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Dayton has averaged 1.30 points per shot (4,028 points/3,092 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

St. Bonaventure Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. Bonaventure has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (720 assists/ 625 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

St. Bonaventure has averaged 11.7 assists per game (269 assists/23 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

St. Bonaventure is shooting 42% (548/1,294) this season — 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%

St. Bonaventure has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (269 assists/ 283 TOs) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/23 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Dayton has averaged 5.4 steals per game (311 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (115 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (115 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

St. Bonaventure Defensive Stats & Trends:

St. Bonaventure has 158 steals this season — 5th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

St. Bonaventure has 367 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

St. Bonaventure has allowed 66.4 points per game (1,527 points/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 68.8

St. Bonaventure has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (131/468) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.