Denver vs South Dakota State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 1:37 PM
  • South Dakota State (11-13) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Denver (11-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Denver / South Dakota State TV channel: ESPN+

The Denver Pioneers (11-11) visit Frost Arena to take on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (11-13) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Brookings, SD.

South Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Denver vs. South Dakota State Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Denver vs. South Dakota State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Denver+8.5 -110O 161.5 -105+300
South Dakota State -8.5 -110U 161.5 -115-375

Denver vs South Dakota State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Dakota State will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Denver vs South Dakota State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Dakota State will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 9 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -3.99% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -4.68% ROI
  • 18-6 when betting the Over for +11.4 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 6-18 when betting the Under for -13.8 Units / -52.27% ROI

South Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Dakota State has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -12.67% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -11.56% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.56% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.25 Units / -16.13% ROI

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 85.1 points per game (2,042 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Denver has 23.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 18.2

Denver has 25.4 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 19.1

Denver has a 41% free throw rate (1,322 free throw attempts/3,224 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 31%

South Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

South Dakota State has averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (196 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 9.0

South Dakota State is shooting 56% from inside the arc (267/474) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 53%

South Dakota State is shooting 46% (1,460/3,166) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 45%

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,369 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (586 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Denver has averaged 6.0 steals per game (145 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Denver has 145 steals this season — 4th most among Summit Teams

South Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (575/1,385) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 44%

South Dakota State has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (601 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

South Dakota State has averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,384 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

South Dakota State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (153 steals/23 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.