Detroit Mercy vs Youngstown State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:52 AM
  • Youngstown State (23-8) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Detroit Mercy (14-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Detroit Mercy Titans (14-18) visit Beeghly Center to take on the Youngstown State Penguins (23-8) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Youngstown.

Youngstown State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Detroit Mercy vs. Youngstown State Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Detroit Mercy vs. Youngstown State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Detroit Mercy+8.5 -105O 157.5 -115+340
Youngstown State -8.5 -115U 157.5 -105-450

Detroit Mercy vs Youngstown State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Youngstown State will win this game with 67.7% confidence.

Detroit Mercy vs Youngstown State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Youngstown State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Detroit Mercy and Youngstown State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Youngstown State have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has gone 13-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.75 Units / -19.82% ROI).

  • 13-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -9.63% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI

Youngstown State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Youngstown State has gone 18-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 7.9% ROI
  • 21-8 when betting the Over for +12.2 Units / 38.24% ROI
  • 8-21 when betting the Under for -15.1 Units / -47.34% ROI

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (271 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 9.0

Detroit Mercy has made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Detroit Mercy has a 25% free throw rate (794 free throw attempts/3,178 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 29%

Detroit Mercy is shooting 48% from inside the arc (329/686) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 52%

Youngstown State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has averaged 84.0 points per game (2,015 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Youngstown State has an eFG% of 56% this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 51%

Youngstown State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (2,015 points/1,492 shots) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Youngstown State is shooting 39% from three (205/529) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (536 rebounds/24 games) this season — 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Detroit Mercy has averaged 5.9 steals per game (141 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Detroit Mercy has averaged 5.9 steals per game (317 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Detroit Mercy has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,161 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Youngstown State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,353 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Youngstown State has averaged 7.8 steals per game (186 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Youngstown State has averaged 6.4 steals per game (369 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Youngstown State has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,353 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.