- The Dodgers are -300 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | ESPN+ | BSFL | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Monday, May 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 10-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 18-18 ATS.
Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 1-0, 2.46 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -110 | +240 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -110 | -300 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 71.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+10.30 Units / 206% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+14.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.25 Units / 76% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 away games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+18.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 11-25 against the Run Line (-19.91 Units / -42.22% ROI).
- 10-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.2 Units / -41.9% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 6.71% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -14.74% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 18-18 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -5.06% ROI).
- 23-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -2.2% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 3.95% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -12.36% ROI
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roddery Munoz has limited playing time.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 110-29 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Marlins are just 30-57 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Marlins are just 23-82 (.219) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Marlins are 15-167 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 210-34 (.861) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 29-9 (.763) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Dodgers are 110-14 (.887) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,212 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .589 (507 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Marlins hitters have 133 extra-base hits out of 462 total hits (just 29%) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .358 (894 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .802 (5,421 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,435 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 25 double plays in 417 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.20 (320.0 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 980 of 13,219 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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