Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 12:16 PM
  • Diamondbacks / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+150) visit Camelback Ranch-Glendale to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Sunday, March 10, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-4 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Diamondbacks+150
Dodgers -185

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 away games (+6.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+4.15 Units / 208% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.55 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.95 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 away games (+11.36 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 4-8 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -35.71% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.81 Units / -18.16% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -3.82% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -4.51% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Dodgers are 9-4 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 31.75% ROI).

  • 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.98 Units / 15.79% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -10.43% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 4.89% ROI

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (32/56) against Brandon Pfaadt on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (122 Total Bases / 191 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .455 — fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 30% (40/135) against Brandon Pfaadt in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (97/298) against Brandon Pfaadt in the 2023 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gavin Stone has limited playing time.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 41-16 (.719) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

The Dodgers are 185-29 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Dodgers were 44-17 (.721) after a loss in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Dodgers were 85-9 (.904) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.

Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 1,247 times in 6,124 PA’s (20%) in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .394 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Diamondbacks hitters missed on just 23% of swings in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .776 (1,953 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .795 (6,333 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 434 times in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,706 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,085 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,042 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 51% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Daniel Hudson (Los Angeles Dodgers): Knee, Out
  • Enrique Hernandez (Los Angeles Dodgers): Groin, Out
  • Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
  • Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
  • Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
  • Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.