Formula 1 Odds, Picks, Predictions: 2 Bets for the Qatar Grand Prix

min read
Red Bull driver Max Verstappen of the Netherlands celebrates on the podium after winning the Japanese Formula One Grand Prix at the Suzuka Circuit, Suzuka, central Japan, Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023.
(Toru Hanai/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Oct 05, 2023, 3:37 PM
  • Why I’m buying AlphaTauri’s Yuki Tsunoda in Qatar.
  • A cross-sport Formula 1/NFL parlay for bettors to consider.
  • The trend supporting a high margin of victory on Sunday.

Following a two-week break, Formula 1 odds are available for this weekend’s Qatar Grand Prix. 

The race offers a chance for Red Bull Racing’s Max Verstappen to capture his third consecutive driver’s championship. 

Elsewhere, Mercedes and Ferrari reignite their battle in the constructors’ championship, and McLaren attempts to continue their ascendancy in the standings. 

Here’s a look at the race winner odds this weekend as well as my two best bets for the race.

Formula 1 DriverQatar Grand Prix Outright Odds
Max Verstappen -450
Sergio Perez+1200
Lando Norris+1200
Oscar Piastri+1200
Lewis Hamilton+2000
Charles Leclerc+2200
George Russell+2500
Carlos Sainz+2800
Fernando Alonso+8000
All Other Drivers+50000 or Higher

Qatar Grand Prix Betting Prediction No. 1

PARLAY: Yuki Tsunoda Over Liam Lawson/Miami Dolphins Moneyline (-120) 

Truthfully an angle on Tsunoda, but his standalone price of -175 is tough for me to stomach. 

As a result, I’ll add the Dolphins moneyline to drop the price down to a more palatable -120. 

In terms of the Formula 1 angle, this is equal parts a play on Tsunoda as it is a fade of teammate Liam Lawson. 

In pre-race interviews, Lawson has admitted the Qatar Grand Prix will prove a bigger challenge than previous races. It’s also his first outing at the circuit whereas Tsunoda attacked this circuit in 2021. 

Two years ago, Tsunoda qualified P8 – in an admittedly quicker car – before finishing P13 on Sunday. 

It’s also a nice buy-low spot on Tsunoda, who bested his teammate in qualifying in Japan before finishing a spot behind in the race. 

As a result, back the experienced driver over a rookie concerned for the weekend. 

Qatar Grand Prix Betting Prediction No. 2

Race Winning Margin: 25+ Seconds (+250) | 21-24.999 Seconds (+500)

Split a betting unit between these two markets as it likely won’t prove a competitive grand prix. 

When Formula 1 last visited Qatar, eventual winner Lewis Hamilton had a 25.743 second margin of victory. 

Max Verstappen’s Red Bull is arguably quicker this season. That should leave no surprise 25+ seconds is the favorite in this index market. 

Plus, Verstappen just claimed the Japanese Grand Prix by 19.387 seconds at a track with more challenges than Qatar. 

The long straight in Qatar paired with high-speed corners is the perfect recipe for Red Bull, especially for Verstappen. 

In 2021, Verstappen’s gap from P2 to Fernando Alonso in P3 was over 30 seconds. 

Given his relative strength at this track and the fact other drivers lag miles behind, I’ll back a sizable margin of victory for presumed winner Verstappen.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.