Formula 1 Odds, Predictions: My 2 Best Bets for the Las Vegas Grand Prix

min read
Red Bull driver Sergio Perez of Mexico greets spectators during drivers parade before the Formula One Mexico Grand Prix auto race at the Hermanos Rodriguez racetrack in Mexico City, Sunday, Oct. 29, 2023.
(Marco Ugarte/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Nov 15, 2023, 4:01 PM
  • The case for Sergio Perez to secure a podium finish on Saturday.
  • Bet this constructor in a head-to-head matchup based on correlative circuit performance.
  • Read on for my analysis and Las Vegas Grand Prix predictions.

Ahead of this weekend’s inaugural Las Vegas Grand Prix, I’m set to provide a pair of Formula 1 predictions. 

Only two races remain in the Formula 1 season, and there’s little motivation left for drivers. Max Verstappen has already locked up the driver’s championship, while Red Bull has secured the constructor’s championship. 

Alas, there are still opportunities for bettors this weekend based on Formula 1 odds. With that said, let’s dive into my best bets for Saturday’s race. 

Additionally, check out Las Vegas Grand Prix Outright & Podium Odds

Formula 1 Betting Prediction No. 1

Sergio Perez Podium Finish (+160)

Perez is attempting to stave off a late charge from Lewis Hamilton for second in the driver’s championship. 

Whether or not that’s actual motivation is unclear, but Perez should experience success in Las Vegas. 

Red Bull’s vehicle is at its best in a straight line. The fact Vegas features so few corners – 10 to be exact – gives them an inherent advantage. 

Although it’s difficult to compare the Las Vegas circuit without having seen it, the natural comparison is Monza. 

At this year’s Italian Grand Prix, Perez secured a P2 finish, five seconds ahead of P3. 

He also bagged a podium finish in Austria, another circuit I could see proving correlative to Las Vegas. 

As a result, I’ll back him to secure a podium finish to lock up P2 in the driver’s championship. 

Formula 1 Betting Prediction No. 2

Williams Over AlphaTauri (-120) 

This price is slightly confusing as I believe it comes down to which team scores points. 

Examine the BetMGM top-10 markets and bettors will find the two Williams drivers – Alex Albon and Logan Sargeant – are -150 and +350 to score points. 

As for the two AlphaTauri drivers – Daniel Ricciardo and Yuki Tsunoda – they’re both +200 to score points. 

Albon recorded a P7 finish at Monza, the only driver of the four to score points. It was also the third straight points finish for Williams in Italy. 

Although Ricciardo won the Italian Grand Prix in 2021, it came with McLaren, an objectively faster car than AlphaTauri. 

Ricciardo didn’t race in Italy this year, but he owns only one points finish in five grand prix’s. 

As for Tsunoda, he finished P19 in Austria and qualified P11 in Italy (he didn’t start the race). 

For those reasons, I’ll trust the correlative odds and take Williams at a pick ‘em price.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.