Formula 1 Betting Predictions: 2 Picks for the Japan Grand Prix

min read
Red Bull driver Max Verstappen of the Netherlands reacts following the Singapore Formula One Grand Prix at the Marina Bay circuit, Singapore,Sunday, Sept. 17, 2023.
(Vincent Thian/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 21, 2023, 10:09 AM
  • Why I’m buying low on Red Bull Racing.
  • Can Alpine’s Esteban Ocon repeat positive history in Japan?
  • Read on for full analysis and best bets.

The Red Bull run of dominance is over following the Singapore Grand Prix. 

Both Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez failed to finish on the podium, composed of winner Carlos Sainz along with Lando Norris and Lewis Hamilton. 

Now, drivers transition from Singapore to Japan for the 16th installment of this Formula 1 season, providing F1 bettors with another opportunity to wager. 

With that in mind, let’s get to my two best bets. Formula One odds are reflective at time of writing and subject to movement. 

Formula 1 Betting Predictions – Singapore Grand Prix Picks

Red Bull Racing Double Podium Finish (-120) 

This prop bet comes down to Sergio Perez, as teammate Max Verstappen has finished on the podium in every race but one this season. 

This circuit features high-speed corners along with one long straight, so it should arm both Red Bull drivers with confidence following a disappointing outing in Singapore. 

Regarding Perez, he’s finished on the podium in eight of 15 races this season, including a P2 at the Austrian Grand Prix, which usually indicates success in Japan. 

Perez also secured a P2 finish at last year’s Japan Grand Prix. The Mexico international also posted a podium finish at last season’s Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, a track with similar characteristics to Japan, while finishing P4 in Austin, another correlative circuit. 

Based on those outputs, it’s my expectation Red Bull will reestablish dominance over their championship chasers this weekend. 

Bet this market at -130 or better. 

Esteban Ocon (-120) over Pierre Gasly

Ocon’s form over the last six races – four DNF’s, two points finishes – leave something to be desired. 

The good news? His teammate Pierre Gasly only has two points finishes over that span. Although it includes a fluky P3 in the Netherlands, I attribute that to odd weather conditions. 

Setting that aside, Ocon owns an outstanding record at Japan and its correlative circuits. Last season, he posted a P4 finish at this grand prix along with P5, P7 and P8 in Austria, Abu Dhabi and France, respectively. 

Although with a different, inferior team, Gasly posted an average finish of P14.75 at those four races. He also never reached the points in any of those races. 

In the races they’ve both crossed the line this season, Ocon owns a 5-4 head-to-head edge. Across all 12 races in which at least one has crossed the line, it’s a 7-5 edge for Gasly. 

However, three of these successes have come because of Ocon’s DNF. 

Given his positive history at this circuit, I’ll back Ocon to lead the Alpine team come Sunday.

Place a Parlay Bet at BetMGM

BetMGM is the King of Sportsbook and the King of Parlays!

Parlays a unique opportunity to leverage your sports knowledge into more excitement and bigger potential payouts. You can build a parlay bet with hundreds of thousands of combinations each year. From MLB run lines or NFL odds to NHL puck lines or NBA spreads, there are opportunities for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook for updated odds, the best sportsbook promos — including BetMGM’s welcome offer — and more.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.