- The Astros are -190 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The San Francisco Giants (+155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-190) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Giants vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 11-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 16-13 ATS.
Giants vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -130 | O 8 -105 | +155 |
| Astros | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -115 | -190 |
Giants vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.50 Units / 89% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+7.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+16.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+14.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Astros vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Astros vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 61% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 12-16 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -17.11% ROI).
- 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -26.37% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -1.44% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -7.07% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 16-13 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 3.85% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -8.72% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 9.43% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -17% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani’s K:BB ratio is 13.0 (13/1) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.7 — 96th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 1 of 64 left-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (33/53) against Anthony DeSclafani in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .243 (115 PA’s) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 89th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 85% (11/13) against Hunter Brown — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OPS of just .401 (58 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .704 — 95th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of just .252 (27 Total Bases / 107 ABs) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — 96th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has thrown breaking pitches 61% of the time (59/97) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Giants are 53-65 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are just 8-3 (.727) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Giants are just 7-4 (.636) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Giants are 1-14 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Astros are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Astros are 79-6 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Astros are 41-37 (.526) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .285 (362 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants hitters are slugging .560 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .367.
Giants hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Giants hitters have 298 strikeouts in 1,085 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 746 strikeouts in 4,231 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 366 strikeouts in 2,150 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 45 strikeouts in 300 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Giants have allowed 2.32 runs per game (65/28) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Astros have allowed 3.27 runs per game (304/93) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (817.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Sean Manaea (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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