Giants vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 25

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Texas Rangers' Adolis Garcia celebrates as he runs the bases after hitting a go-ahead, two-run home run off New York Yankees relief pitcher Michael King during the 10th inning of a baseball game Friday, June 23, 2023, in New York.
(AP Photo/John Minchillo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2024, 10:54 AM

The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-150) on Sunday, February 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.

Last season, the Giants were 79-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers were 100-79 ATS.

Giants vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Giants+125
Rangers -150

Giants vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Giants went 72-90 against the Run Line (-29.35 Units / -14.03% ROI).

  • 79-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -8.41% ROI
  • 68-91 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.9 Units / -18.29% ROI
  • 91-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.25 Units / 9.77% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Rangers went 100-79 against the Run Line (+22.7 Units / 10.02% ROI).

  • 103-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 2.66% ROI
  • 93-77 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 3.99% ROI
  • 77-93 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.05 Units / -12.76% ROI

Kyle Harrison has limited playing time.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Heaney has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to August 29th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.

Andrew Heaney spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (293/543) of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents batted just .169 (14-for-83) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 99th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney threw fastballs up 63% of the time (948/1,506) in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Giants are 130-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Giants were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 130 double plays in 1,059 opportunities (12%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
  • Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.