- The Grizzlies are -8.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | BSSM | NBAt
The Miami Heat visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 1-3 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 3-1 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +8.5 -110 | O 223.5 -115 | +280 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | -8.5 -110 | U 223.5 -105 | -350 |
Grizzlies vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 away games (+20.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 88 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+14.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 57 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Heat have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- 3-1 against the Moneyline (+2.55 Units / 48.57% ROI)
- 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
- 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Grizzlies have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- 3-1 against the Moneyline (+0.8 Units / 19.9% ROI)
- 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
- 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-24.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-24.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.40 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-19.50 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.10 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 59 games (-24.15 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-19.90 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.45 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-18.80 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 89 games (-17.10 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat were 17-3 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Heat are 34-5 (.872) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .761
The Heat are 31-18 (.633) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Grizzlies were 9-12 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Grizzlies are 1-25 (.038) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Heat have allowed 109.1 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.
The Grizzlies were 30-16 (.652) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. Heat – Friday‘s Game, Oct. 18
- Memphis Grizzlies – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,550/1,844) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (258 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Grizzlies stole the ball 680 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,645/3,735) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%
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