- The Grizzlies are -8.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | BSSM | NBAt
The Miami Heat visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 1-3 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 3-1 against the spread.
Bet now on Grizzlies vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +8.5 -110 | O 223.5 -115 | +280 |
Memphis Grizzlies | -8.5 -110 | U 223.5 -105 | -350 |
Grizzlies vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.
Bet now on Grizzlies vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 away games (+20.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 88 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+14.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 57 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Heat have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- 3-1 against the Moneyline (+2.55 Units / 48.57% ROI)
- 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
- 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Grizzlies have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- 3-1 against the Moneyline (+0.8 Units / 19.9% ROI)
- 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
- 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-24.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-24.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.40 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-19.50 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.10 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 59 games (-24.15 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-19.90 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.45 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-18.80 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 89 games (-17.10 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat were 17-3 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Heat are 34-5 (.872) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .761
The Heat are 31-18 (.633) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Grizzlies were 9-12 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Grizzlies are 1-25 (.038) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Heat have allowed 109.1 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.
The Grizzlies were 30-16 (.652) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. Heat – Friday‘s Game, Oct. 18
- Memphis Grizzlies – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,550/1,844) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (258 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Grizzlies stole the ball 680 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,645/3,735) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%
Bet now on Grizzlies vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.