Illinois vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 12:18 PM
  • Illinois (8-5) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Michigan (6-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Illinois / Michigan TV channel: FS1

The Illinois Fighting Illini (8-5) visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines (6-11) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Illinois vs. Michigan Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

Bet now on Michigan vs Illinois & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Illinois vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-2.5 -115O 153.5 -110-145
Michigan +2.5 -105U 153.5 -110+120

Illinois vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Michigan vs Illinois and all games with BetMGM


  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -18.83% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.1 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.35 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.05 Units / -18.83% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (419 assists/ 397 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Illinois is shooting 30% from three (125/418) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (389/1,216) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (617 assists/ 614 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (376 assists/ 329 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (221 turnovers/17 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Michigan has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Michigan has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,355 points/1,021 shots) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,079 points/1,044 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,079 points/1,044 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.5

Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (407/1,044) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (74 steals/17 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (232 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (232 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (232 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7


Bet now on Michigan vs Illinois and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you donโ€™t have an account, check out BetMGMโ€™s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.