Illinois vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:45 AM
  • Illinois (14-6) are -1.5 point favorites vs Wisconsin (12-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Illinois Fighting Illini (14-6) visit Kohl Center to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (12-7) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Madison.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Illinois vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-1.5 -115130.5 -110-130
Wisconsin +1.5 -105130.5 -110+110

Illinois vs Wisconsin Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 54.7% confidence.

Illinois vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Wisconsin, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+3.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has gone 11-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.15 Units / 10.26% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -15.65% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI

Wisconsin Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wisconsin has gone 8-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 6.67% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (140 turnovers/20 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (140 turnovers/20 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (142 assists/ 140 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Illinois is shooting 33% from three (168/515) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wisconsin has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (274 turnovers/32 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Wisconsin has averaged 3.8 turnovers per game (72 turnovers/19 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Wisconsin has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (170 turnovers/19 games) this season — 2nd best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 12.3

Wisconsin has averaged 4.2 turnovers per game (221 turnovers/52 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Illinois has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.2

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (3,504 points/3,141 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Illinois has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,455 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wisconsin has averaged 6.7 steals per game (127 steals/19 games) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Wisconsin has 127 steals this season — 5th most among Big 10 Teams

Wisconsin has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (173/481) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Wisconsin has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (505/1,120) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.