Incarnate Word vs Texas A&M-Commerce Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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Texas A&M-Commerce coach Jaret von Rosenberg signals to players during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Texas in Austin, Texas, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 11:14 AM
  • Texas A&M-Commerce (7-10) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Incarnate Word (7-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Incarnate Word / Texas A&M-Commerce TV channel: ESPN+

The Incarnate Word Cardinals (7-10) visit Texas A&M-Commerce Field House to take on the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions (7-10) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Commerce, TX.

Texas A&M-Commerce is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Incarnate Word vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Incarnate Word vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Incarnate Word+3.5 -105O 140.5 -110+165
Texas A&M-Commerce -3.5 -115U 140.5 -110-200

Incarnate Word vs Texas A&M-Commerce Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M-Commerce will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Incarnate Word vs Texas A&M-Commerce Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas A&M-Commerce will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Incarnate Word have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 26 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.95 Units / -15.73% ROI).

  • 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -4.26% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI

Texas A&M-Commerce Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M-Commerce has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / -20.8% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -6.28% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.71% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.35 Units / 23.2% ROI

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (219 assists/ 274 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Incarnate Word has an eFG% of 50% this season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 50%

Incarnate Word has an eFG% of 50% this season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 50%

Incarnate Word has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (219 assists/ 274 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Texas A&M-Commerce Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M-Commerce has attempted 602 threes this season — most among Southland Teams

Texas A&M-Commerce has made 8.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas A&M-Commerce is shooting 57% from inside the arc (256/446) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 52%

Texas A&M-Commerce has an eFG% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word has averaged 7.8 steals per game (380 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Incarnate Word has averaged 7.8 steals per game (380 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Incarnate Word has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 7.2

Incarnate Word has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (335/979) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Texas A&M-Commerce Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (439 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,148 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 8.8 steals per game (175 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 8.8 steals per game (175 steals/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.