Kentucky vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 19, 2023, 11:45 AM
  • Kentucky (22-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Kansas State (24-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) visit Greensboro Coliseum to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (24-9) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 2:40pm EDT in Greensboro.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Kentucky vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky-2.5 -115O 143.5 -110-155
Kansas State +2.5 -105U 143.5 -110+130

Kentucky vs Kansas State Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this March Madness game with 53.1% confidence.

Kentucky vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+17.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has gone 16-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -7.45% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.35 Units / -25.29% ROI
  • 20-13 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 15.7% ROI
  • 13-20 when betting the Under for -9 Units / -24.79% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has gone 21-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 22-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.55 Units / 18.21% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kentucky is shooting 46% (810/1,757) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (296 assists/ 257 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Kentucky is shooting 37% from three (186/499) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 301 threes in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas State has averaged 1.31 points per shot (756 points/576 shots) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (144/434) this season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,733 points/3,275 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,899 points/1,587 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (87/312) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. allowed 55.0 points per game (1,155 points/21 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.