- The Mets are -105 favorites vs the Cubs
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Mets vs Cubs Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 25-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 26-21 ATS.
Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +170 | O 7 -120 | -105 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -210 | U 7 +100 | -115 |
Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 13 games (+13.80 Units / 82% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 games (+12.90 Units / 161% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+7.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 17-32 against the Run Line (-17.05 Units / -28.56% ROI).
- 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -15.31% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -9.16% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.19% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 26-21 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 6.63% ROI).
- 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -10.11% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 3.39% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -13.02% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga has walked 16 of 71 batters (23%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (45/119) against Kodai Senga this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has a strike rate of just 58% (129/223) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .098 (8-for-82) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .176 — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has walked 13 of 57 batters (23%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 50% of the time (225/451) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (4-for-23) against Marcus Stroman on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (50/80) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mets are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Mets are 111-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are 63-11 (.851) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mets are 25-17 (.595) after a road loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cubs are just 14-24 (.368) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Cubs are just 21-2 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Cubs are just 1-92 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .331 (4,260 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Mets have scored first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets hitters have just 1,088 strikeouts in 5,517 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets have scored first in just 29% of their road games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Cubs are batting .291 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .841 (506 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .395 (185 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 125 of 1,875 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 29 of 418 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 6% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Tomás Nido (Mets): Eye, D10
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