- Missouri State (8-7) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Evansville (10-5)
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Missouri State / Evansville TV channel: ESPN+
The Missouri State Bears (8-7) visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces (10-5) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.
Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Missouri State vs. Evansville Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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Missouri State vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Missouri State | -4.5 -105 | O 143.5 -105 | -185 |
| Evansville | +4.5 -115 | U 143.5 -115 | +150 |
Missouri State vs Evansville Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Missouri State vs Evansville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Evansville will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- Evansville have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / 0% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 0% ROI
- 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / 0% ROI
- 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 0% ROI
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.45 Units / 0% ROI
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has 477 defensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Missouri State has averaged 67.3 points per game (3,230 points/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.4
Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (122/389) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State is shooting 71% from the free throw line (224/315) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72%
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 1.14 points per shot (3,227 points/2,828 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Evansville has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Evansville is shooting 42% (1,190/2,828) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Evansville has made 6.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (96/345) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%
Missouri State has forced 9.7 turnovers per game (155 turnovers/16 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5
Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (96/345) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,102 points/1,020 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.19
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has 112 steals this season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville has averaged 7.0 steals per game (112 steals/16 games) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Evansville has averaged 7.0 steals per game (336 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Evansville has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
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