Angels vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

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Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez watches his home run during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Tuesday, June 6, 2023, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 22, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Angels / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-175) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Angels are 42-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 45-56 ATS.

Angels vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 8-8, 3.03 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 7-7, 3.66 ERA

Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -145O 7.5 -115+145
Mariners -1.5 +120U 7.5 -105-175

Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 29 games (+20.50 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+16.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 57 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+15.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 games at home (+7.10 Units / 15% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 55-44 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -3.57% ROI).

  • 42-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.54% ROI
  • 50-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.55% ROI
  • 45-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -8.86% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 45-56 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -11.99% ROI).

  • 53-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -4.34% ROI
  • 41-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.95 Units / -18.19% ROI
  • 56-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.85 Units / 9.81% ROI

Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Mickey Moniak (LAA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Willie Calhoun (LAA) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Tyler Locklear (SEA) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
J.P. Crawford (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Anthony Rendon (LAA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Willie Calhoun (LAA) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Mickey Moniak (LAA) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Miller (SEA) 4.5 -155 4.5 +115
Tyler Anderson (LAA) 4.5 -135 4.5 +105

Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 12% (13 SO in 104 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (350/1,112) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total CH; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .238 (41 Total Bases / 172 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 — 98th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (532/1,819) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .153 (9 Total Bases / 59 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .222 (171 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (21/127) against Bryce Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Angels are just 98-10 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Angels are just 18-23 (.439) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.

The Angels are just 40-44 (.476) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.

The Angels are just 40-45 (.471) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Mariners are 189-4 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Mariners are 95-16 (.856) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .788.

The Mariners are 171-18 (.905) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.

The Angels have scored first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,217 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Angels have won just 48% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .631 (1,217 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.

The Mariners are batting just .202 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Mariners hitters have 1,963 strikeouts in 7,299 PA’s (27%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters have 782 strikeouts in 2,722 PA’s (29%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Mariners are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Angels pitchers have walked 240 of 2,312 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 90 of 878 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 369 of 3,755 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 46 of 897 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .249 (897 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 21% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (465.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.

Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.