- The Marlins are -150 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-150) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Angels are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 0-5 ATS.
Angels vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-0, 3.60 ERA
Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Angels | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
Marlins | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 4.88% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 41.86% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -55.56% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-5 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -100% ROI
- 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 93.46% ROI
- 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -100% ROI
Marlins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Sano | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Trout | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rendon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Chisholm | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
O'Hoppe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rendon | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Trout | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Chisholm | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
O'Hoppe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Sano | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Marlins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Trout | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Sano | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Chisholm | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
O'Hoppe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Rendon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Marlins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Luzardo | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Anderson | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 32% of the time (199/629) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (381/1,336) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 23rd, 2023 — Matt Waldron has the longest active streak at 9.
Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 41% of the time (771/1,886) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
40% of Jesus Luzardo’s called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo located his fastball inside 43% of the time (623/1,449) in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 93rd Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo had an average fastball velocity of 96.8 MPH in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.0 — 95th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (138/410) against Jesus Luzardo when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are just 56-37 (.602) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are just 12-135 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Angels are just 30-72 (.294) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Marlins are 94-13 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Marlins are 13-145 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins were 7-65 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .265 (940 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 2,301 strikeouts in 8,842 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .308 (1,570 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,187 of 12,436 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 275 of 2,892 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have 534 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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