Angels vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 2

Miami Marlins' Jazz Chisholm Jr. (2) breaks his bat during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds, Friday, May 12, 2023, in Miami. Chisholm grounded out on the at-bat.
(AP Photo/Michael Laughlin)
  • The Marlins are -150 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Angels / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-150) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Angels are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 0-5 ATS.

Angels vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-0, 3.60 ERA

Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -160O 8.5 -105+125
Marlins -1.5 +135U 8.5 -115-150

Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 4.88% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 41.86% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -55.56% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-5 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -100% ROI
  • 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 93.46% ROI
  • 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -100% ROI

Marlins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sano 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Trout 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Rendon 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Chisholm 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
O'Hoppe 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Marlins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rendon 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Trout 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Chisholm 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
O'Hoppe 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Sano 0.5 -145 0.5 +110

Marlins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trout 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Sano 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Chisholm 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
O'Hoppe 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Rendon 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Marlins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luzardo 6.5 -115 6.5 -115
Anderson 4.5 +115 4.5 -155

Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 32% of the time (199/629) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (381/1,336) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 23rd, 2023 — Matt Waldron has the longest active streak at 9.

Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 41% of the time (771/1,886) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

40% of Jesus Luzardo’s called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo located his fastball inside 43% of the time (623/1,449) in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 93rd Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo had an average fastball velocity of 96.8 MPH in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.0 — 95th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (138/410) against Jesus Luzardo when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Angels are just 56-37 (.602) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Angels are just 12-135 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Angels are just 30-72 (.294) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Marlins are 94-13 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Marlins are 13-145 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Marlins were 7-65 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .781.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .265 (940 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Angels hitters have 2,301 strikeouts in 8,842 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .308 (1,570 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,187 of 12,436 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 275 of 2,892 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have 534 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
  • Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.