- Angels / Royals TV Channel: BSCA
The Los Angeles Angels (+100) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Angels are 10-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 6-7 ATS.
Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Angels | +100 |
| Royals | -120 |
Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Trey Cabbage has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Angels are 8-6 against the Run Line (+2.52 Units / 16.29% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.06 Units / 45.18% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.83 Units / -44.7% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 36.4% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 6-7 against the Run Line (-0.44 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.13 Units / 12.17% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -41.4% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 31.6% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers located 42% of his pitches inside (1,086/2,599) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 31% (96/307) against Reid Detmers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (10/59) against Reid Detmers on curveballs in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Reid Detmers located 43% of his pitches inside (350/821) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 95th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Lynch has an average spin rate of 2053.0 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — third Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (96 balls in play) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Daniel Lynch has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.0 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (93 balls in play) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 89.8
Daniel Lynch’s highest spin rate on changeups since last season is 1964.0 RPM — 2nd fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2559.0
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 126-11 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Angels are just 55-37 (.598) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 7-42 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Royals were just 17-12 (.586) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Angels batted just .205 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Angels hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Angels hitters chased 19% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals were just 0-1 (.000) against the run line (-100.0% ROI) after a win as favorites in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Angels pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after scoring a run on offense since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
- Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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