- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Astros vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Rays TV Channel: SCHN | BSUN
The Houston Astros (-135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Astros are 63-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 58-60 ATS.
Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 5-9, 4.64 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 4.30 ERA
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -110 | -135 |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -110 | +115 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 31 games (+28.60 Units / 92% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 45 games (+21.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 101 games (+16.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+16.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 82 games (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 71 of their last 115 games (+23.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 109 games (+14.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 60-58 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 2.34% ROI).
- 63-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.62% ROI
- 47-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.1 Units / -21.02% ROI
- 68-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.05 Units / 12.26% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 58-60 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -4.81% ROI).
- 59-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -6.88% ROI
- 54-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 61-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.5% ROI
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jonathan Singleton (HOU) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 72% (13 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 72% (13 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 48% (119/250) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 (50 GB hits out of 142 GBs) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .391 (9-for-23) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Shane Baz has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 71.1.
Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Shane Baz when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — eighth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 184-25 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are 41-32 (.562) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 117-32 (.785) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 26-95 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rays are just 16-32 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 31-59 (.344) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Rays are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 871 strikeouts in 4,904 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,521/10,724 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,362/16,778 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .357 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .662 (3,330 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .665 (2,274 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Astros pitchers this month (10 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% with runners in scoring position this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 254 of 3,944 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,145 of 16,370 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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