- The Astros are -120 favorites vs the Rays
- Astros vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Rays TV Channel: SCHN | BSUN
The Houston Astros (-125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Astros are 64-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 59-60 ATS.
Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-6, 3.03 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 5-8, 4.14 ERA
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -110 | -125 |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -110 | +105 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+36.00 Units / 171% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+17.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Walks Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 41 games (+17.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+15.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 102 games (+17.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 80 games (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 72 of their last 116 games (+24.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 110 games (+15.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 60-59 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 1.64% ROI).
- 64-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -3.98% ROI
- 47-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.2 Units / -21.68% ROI
- 69-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.05 Units / 12.92% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 59-60 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -4.14% ROI).
- 59-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -7.52% ROI
- 54-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -10.41% ROI
- 62-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 2.25% ROI
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has walked 25 of 199 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (8-for-52) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .123 (9-for-73) against Ronel Blanco’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (33-for-228) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
13 of Zack Littell’s 36 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (41/142) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 5 of 205 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .306 (59-for-193) against Zack Littell when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Astros are 11-6 (.647) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Astros are 48-5 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are just 23-47 (.329) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 26-97 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
16% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (708/4,509 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have just 871 strikeouts in 4,904 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Rays are batting .260 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 56% with two-strikes this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 254 of 3,953 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,147 of 16,408 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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