- The Astros are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Astros vs Rockies Over / Under today: 16 Runs
- Astros / Rockies TV Channel: ESPN
The Houston Astros (-210) visit Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu to take on the Colorado Rockies (+170) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in .
This season, the Astros are 8-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 12-15 ATS.
Astros vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 0-0, 2.25 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-1, 4.32 ERA
Astros vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 -115 | O 16 -110 | -210 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -105 | U 16 -110 | +170 |
Astros vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+12.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+6.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 133 games (+4.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 9-18 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -27.83% ROI).
- 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -45.77% ROI
- 8-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -35.21% ROI
- 17-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 26.99% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-15 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -17.02% ROI).
- 7-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -32.57% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -11.87% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 2.98% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (382/808) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (776/1,633) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (149/230) against Framber Valdez with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .187 (51-for-273) against Framber Valdez when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (272 Total Bases / 434 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .320 (134-for-419) against Austin Gomber since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .662 (88 Total Bases / 133 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .443 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (167 Total Bases / 264 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .453 — third Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Astros are 106-70 (.602) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Astros are 144-21 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 43-27 (.614) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Astros are just 10-15 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rockies are just 46-22 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 50-14 (.781) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 176 strikeouts in 1,046 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 700 strikeouts in 3,962 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 379 strikeouts in 2,112 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros are batting .186 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.8.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Astros have allowed 3.78 runs per game (665/176) on the road since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rockies vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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