- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Yankees TV Channel: SCHN | YES | MLBN
The Houston Astros (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Thursday, May 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Astros are 12-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 19-19 ATS.
Astros vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 3-0, 2.12 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 2-1, 3.44 ERA
Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -115 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+22.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+15.05 Units / 150% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+17.30 Units / 124% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+15.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 12-24 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -27.84% ROI).
- 12-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.85 Units / -38.67% ROI
- 13-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -24.49% ROI
- 21-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 16.52% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 19-19 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 4.63% ROI).
- 25-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 11.66% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -13.99% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 5.58% ROI
Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has walked 8 of 43 batters (19%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 9% (4/45) against Ronel Blanco this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .151 (11-for-73) against Ronel Blanco this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Ronel Blanco when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (180/304) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 9 of 63 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (33 Total Bases / 61 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .281 — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 5 of 23 batters (22%) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Astros are 63-43 (.594) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Astros are 107-72 (.598) on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Astros are 208-152 (.578) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 55-48 (.534) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Yankees are 52-50 (.510) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 27-4 (.871) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Yankees are 67-39 (.632) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 717 strikeouts in 4,065 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .911 (594 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Astros hitters are slugging .540 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .372.
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Yankees are batting .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.23 (143.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have allowed an OBP of .449 (98 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
Astros pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Yankees vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Astros vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
