- The Astros are -210 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Athletics / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | ESPN+ | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+170) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-210) on Thursday, May 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Athletics are 19-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 17-26 ATS.
Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 1-0, 1.80 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier 2-1, 4.02 ERA
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -115 | O 9 -110 | +170 |
| Astros | -1.5 -105 | U 9 -110 | -210 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 67.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+15.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- Kyle McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 16 games (+20.75 Units / 130% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 42 games (+20.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+16.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+15.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 24-21 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -3.37% ROI).
- 19-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 2.23% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -2.54% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -7.42% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 17-26 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -17.48% ROI).
- 18-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -22.9% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -23.83% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 15.53% ROI
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Estes (OAK) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Cristian Javier (HOU) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Estes has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to September 20th, 2023 — Kyle Hendricks has the longest active streak at 6.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .170 (97-for-569) against Cristian Javier since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (81/368) against Cristian Javier since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (47/233) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (959/2,476) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 36-77 (.319) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 69-154 (.309) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Athletics are just 39-96 (.289) after a loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 45-29 (.608) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Astros are 101-27 (.789) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are just 21-80 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Astros are 90-63 (.588) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Athletics are batting just .215 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics are batting just .202 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 729 strikeouts in 4,143 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 81 strikeouts in 492 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 408 strikeouts in 2,293 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.67 (864.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (178.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
The Astros won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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