Athletics vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Blue Jays are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Athletics / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | NSCA

The Oakland Athletics (+130) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Athletics are 49-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 54-63 ATS.

Athletics vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 9-8, 4.38 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 9-10, 3.96 ERA

Athletics vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -165O 8.5 -110+130
Blue Jays -1.5 +140U 8.5 -110-155

Athletics vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 37 games (+29.35 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 44 games (+18.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in his last 16 away games (+16.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+15.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.70 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 42 games (+45.95 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+15.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 away games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 away games (+8.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 47 games (+20.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 116 games (+4.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 61-57 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -4.16% ROI).

  • 49-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -3.19% ROI
  • 52-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.1 Units / -13.93% ROI
  • 63-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.15 Units / 3.97% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 54-63 against the Run Line (-20.55 Units / -13% ROI).

  • 54-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -10.64% ROI
  • 63-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 5.29% ROI
  • 51-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -14.46% ROI

Blue Jays vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Lawrence Butler (OAK) 0.5 +525 0.5 -800

Blue Jays vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Blue Jays vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Blue Jays vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JP Sears (OAK) 3.5 -175 3.5 +130
Chris Bassitt (TOR) 5.5 -160 5.5 +120

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 15% (18 SO in 119 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 0 Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of 35% (35 SO in 100 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 85th Percentile.

JP Sears has thrown his slider 47% of the time (248/533) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .345 (20-for-58) against JP Sears on low fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 10th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (32/232) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.0 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (164 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 80.8

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (25/165) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Athletics are just 125-82 (.604) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Athletics are just 98-180 (.353) since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Blue Jays are 35-28 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Blue Jays are just 9-55 (.141) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Blue Jays are 26-15 (.634) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are batting just .205 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Athletics are batting just .228 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .296 (4,116 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Athletics are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .466 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .206 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .328 (8,611 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Blue Jays hitters have just 425 strikeouts in 2,416 PA’s (18%) in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.50 (1176.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 267 of 3,936 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
  • Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Soderstrom (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Esteury Ruiz (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Michael Kelly (Oakland Athletics): Suspension, Suspension
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Lat, 7-Day IL
  • Ross Stripling (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Darell Hernaiz (Oakland Athletics): Ankle, 60-Day IL
  • Dany Jimenez (Oakland Athletics): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Wood (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Paul Blackburn (Oakland Athletics): Foot, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.