- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Athletics / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Athletics are 69-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 72-89 ATS.
Athletics vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 8-9, 4.38 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 8-12, 3.33 ERA
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -150 | O 7 -115 | +150 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -105 | -185 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 36 games (+21.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+17.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 33 games (+32.45 Units / 98% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 away games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 75 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games at home (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games at home (+9.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 86-75 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -1.97% ROI).
- 69-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -1.76% ROI
- 76-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -8.49% ROI
- 82-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.24% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 72-89 against the Run Line (-20.35 Units / -10.06% ROI).
- 84-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -6.08% ROI
- 74-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 77-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -2.41% ROI
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jacob Wilson (OAK) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Spence (OAK) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -110 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .418 (23-for-55) against Mitch Spence this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (171/338) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (198/338) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has allowed an OPS of 1.157 (58 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .223 (575 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .177 (288 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 50% of the time (252/508) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (278/508) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 36-62 (.367) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Athletics are just 24-41 (.369) after a home win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 145-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are 76-14 (.844) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Mariners are 46-31 (.597) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Mariners are 43-5 (.896) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .228 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics are batting just .219 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,770 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .149 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .203 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners have scored first in 74% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .224 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.39 (1361.1 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 1,236 of 17,758 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 76 of 1,432 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (1474.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
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