- The Phillies are -300 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Athletics / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Athletics are 35-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 50-43 ATS.
Athletics vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Hogan Harris 1-3, 3.28 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 10-3, 2.61 ERA
Athletics vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -120 | O 9 -110 | +240 |
| Phillies | -2.5 +100 | U 9 -110 | -300 |
Athletics vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 68.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 78 games (+24.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 76 games (+23.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 40 games at home (+17.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 76 games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 47-48 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -8.98% ROI).
- 35-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -11.68% ROI
- 41-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -14.8% ROI
- 51-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.15 Units / 4.91% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 50-43 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 5.98% ROI).
- 61-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.9 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 1.72% ROI
Phillies vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Phillies vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Daz Cameron (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Max Schuemann (OAK) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Phillies vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris (OAK) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (92/267) against Hogan Harris since last season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (3/15) against Hogan Harris this month (1 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
The average home run distance against Hogan Harris since last season is 408.9 feet — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 398.6
Hogan Harris has allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (47/191 PA’s) this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 19% — ninth Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (59/100) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .135 (7-for-52) against Ranger Suarez’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 96th Percentile.
7 of Ranger Suarez’s 26 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 91st Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (252/474) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Athletics are just 10-26 (.278) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Athletics are just 140-227 (.381) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Athletics are just 52-118 (.306) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Phillies are 9-20 (.310) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Phillies are 53-6 (.898) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Phillies are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .204 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .290 (11,428 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .312 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .327 (6,700 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 72% at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .743 (11,028 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .150 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Phillies pitchers this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (1198.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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